Monday, April 24, 2006

Tony Preview Time!

I am not commenting on the Bridge & Tunnel decision. I refuse to lower myself to discuss such things. After all—what remains to be said? I suppose the only debatable thing now is whether they will nominate Bridge & Tunnel and The Blonde and the Thunderbird or just give Bridge & Tunnel the Special Theatrical Tony when they announce the nominations (ala Blast!). I’m thinking the former, but I really have no clue. Personally, of course, I’m all for a Suzanne nomination to add to the ridiculousness of the proceedings.

OK, onto the main attraction. Below is a Tony odds list. Now, I’m not taking any major risks with it—the only people in “Lock” are people I actually believe are truly 100% locks. The main point of the list is to show who is eligible in what category as many publications have printed incorrect information. (For instance, despite popular belief, Frances Sternhagen and George Grizzard are eligible in the supporting categories for their work in Seascape.) I pretty much guarantee that all information on shows that have already faced the Tony Admin committee is accurate. The other shows, I am basing it on what I’ve heard. Like I thought Sutton Foster would be featured, but I’m now hearing lead, so I put her there. This could all change. I’m hoping they put Zoe Wanamaker in Lead Actress for her work in Awake and Sing!, but she is below-the-title and my friend at LCT told me he thought they were leaning towards leaving here there, so I left her featured for this list. My Threepenny Opera placement is a total guess. Anything could happen with shows that have yet to have their day before the Tony Admin people.

To make the list below, I started out with a long list (graciously donated by the other star of this blog) of basically everyone who has stepped foot on a Broadway stage this season. I completely removed a lot of the people—like the entire ensemble of dancers from Chita Rivera: The Dancer’s Life—but there are still some random folks stuck in. Also, there are many people in the “I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…” featured categories that probably don’t belong there, but they are in shows I have not seen, so I felt bad making “Ummm… Probably Not” judgments on them.

I’m Thinking… Lock
The History Boys
The Lieutenant of Inishmore

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Rabbit Hole
Shining City

Ummm… Probably Not
After the Night and the Music
A Naked Girl on the Appian Way

I’m Thinking… Lock
The Drowsy Chaperone
Jersey Boys

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
The Color Purple
The Wedding Singer

Ummm… Probably Not
Chita Rivera: The Dancer’s Life
Hot Feet
In My Life
Ring of Fire
The Woman in White

I’m Thinking… Lock
Awake and Sing!
Faith Healer

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
The Caine Mutiny Court Martial
The Constant Wife
A Touch of the Poet

Ummm… Probably Not
Absurd Person Singular
Barefoot in the Park
The Odd Couple
Three Days of Rain

I Know… Lock
The Pajama Game
Sweeney Todd
The Threepenny Opera

I’m Thinking… Lock
Ralph Fiennes, Faith Healer
Richard Griffiths, The History Boys

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Gabriel Byrne, A Touch of the Poet
Michael Hayden, Festen
Zeljko Ivanek, The Caine Mutiny Court Martial
Brian F. O’Byrne, Shining City
Oliver Platt, Shining City
Paul Rudd, Three Days of Rain
Antony Sher, Primo
John Slattery, Rabbit Hole

Ummm… Probably Not
Matthew Broderick, The Odd Couple
Larry Bryggman, Festen
Michael Cumpsty, The Constant Wife
Tim Daly, The Caine Mutiny Court Martial
John Dossett, The Constant Wife
Nathan Lane, The Odd Couple
David Schwimmer, The Caine Mutiny Court Martial
Richard Thomas, A Naked Girl on the Appian Way
Patrick Wilson, Barefoot in the Park

I’m Thinking… Lock
Cherry Jones, Faith Healer
Cynthia Nixon, Rabbit Hole

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Kate Burton, The Constant Wife
Judy Kaye, Souvenir
Lisa Kron, Well
Lynn Redgrave, The Constant Wife

Julia Roberts, Three Days of Rain

Ummm… Probably Not
Jill Clayburgh, A Naked Girl on the Appian Way
Amanda Peet, Barefoot in the Park

I’m Thinking… Lock
Michael Cerveris, Sweeney Todd
Harry Connick, Jr, The Pajama Game
John Lloyd Young, Jersey Boys

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Alan Cumming, The Threepenny Opera
Stephen Lynch, The Wedding Singer
Bob Martin, The Drowsy Chaperone
Josh Strickland, Tarzan

Ummm… Probably Not
Christopher Hanke, In My Life
Hugh Panaro, Lestat

I’m Thinking… Lock
LaChanze, The Color Purple
Patti LuPone, Sweeney Todd

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Laura Benanti, The Wedding Singer
Sutton Foster, The Drowsy Chaperone
Maria Friedman, The Woman in White
Nellie McKay, The Threepenny Opera
Kelli O’Hara, The Pajama Game
Chita Rivera, Chita Rivera: The Dancer’s Life

Ummm… Probably Not
Jessica Boevers, In My Life
Jennifer Gambatese, Tarzan
Vivian Nixon, Hot Feet

I’m Thinking… Lock
Ian McDiarmid, Faith Healer

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Samuel Barnett, The History Boys
Stephen Campbell Moore, The History Boys
Bradley Cooper, Three Days of Rain
Dominic Cooper, The History Boys
Donald Corren, Souvenir
Dashiell Eaves, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
Ned Eisenberg, Awake and Sing!
John Gallagher, Rabbit Hole
Ben Gazzara, Awake and Sing!
Peter Gerety, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
Domhnall Gleeson, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
George Grizzard, Seascape
Jonathan Hadary, Awake and Sing!
Brian D’Arcy James, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
Clive Merrison, The History Boys
Mark Ruffalo, Awake and Sing!
Peter Scanavino, Shining City
Pablo Schreiber, Awake and Sing!
Frederick Weller, Seascape
David Wilmot, The Lieutenant of Inishmore

Ummm… Probably Not
Samuel Anderson, The History Boys
Rob Bartlett, The Odd Couple
Terry Beaver, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Jeff Binder, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
Daniel Breaker, Well
Jere Burns, After the Night and the Music
John Ellison Conlee, The Constant Wife
Andrew Connolly, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
James Corden, The History Boys
Keith Davis, Festen
Eugenio Derbez, Latinologues
Robert L. Devaney, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Sacha Dhawan, The History Boys
Scott Ferrara, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Ben Fox, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Murphy Guyer, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
John Hoffman, Well
John Horton, A Touch of the Poet
Byron Jennings, A Touch of the Poet
David Patrick Kelly, Festen
Brian Kerwin, After the Night and the Music
Andrew Knott, The History Boys
Eddie Korbich, After the Night and the Music
Stephen Kunken, Festen
Peter Kybart, Awake and Sing!
Rene Lavan, Latinologues
Matthew Morrison, A Naked Girl on the Appian Way
Rick Najera, Latinologues
Geoffrey Nauffts, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Tom Nelis, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Randall Newsome, A Touch of the Poet
Ciaran O’Reilly, A Touch of the Poet
Jamie Parker, The History Boys
Brian Reddy, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Sam Robards, Absurd Person Singular
Tony Roberts, Barefoot in the Park
Alan Ruck, Absurd Person Singular
Joe Sikora, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Jeremy Sisto, Festen
Daniel Stewart Sherman, A Touch of the Poet
Paul David Story, The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Richard Topol, Awake and Sing!
Russell Tovey, The History Boys
Paxton Whitehead, Absurd Person Singular
Lee Wilkof, The Odd Couple
C.J. Wilson, Festen
James Yaegashi, A Naked Girl on the Appian Way

I’m Thinking… Lock
Tyne Daly, Rabbit Hole
Jayne Houdyshell, Well
Frances de la Tour, The History Boys

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Lauren Ambrose, Awake and Sing!
Emily Bergl, A Touch of the Poet
Jill Clayburgh, Barefoot in the Park
Mary Catherine Garrison, Rabbit Hole
Julianna Margulies, Festen
Elizabeth Marvel, Seascape
Kathryn Meisle, The Constant Wife
Dearbhla Molloy, A Touch of the Poet
Alison Pill, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
Martha Plimpton, Shining City
J. Smith-Cameron, After the Night and the Music
Jessica Stone, The Odd Couple
Frances Sternhagen, Seascape
Zoe Wanamaker, Awake and Sing!

Ummm… Probably Not
Leslie Ayvazian, A Naked Girl on the Appian Way
Jeannie Berlin, After the Night and the Music
Olivia d’Abo, The Odd Couple
Diane Davis, Festen
Mireille Enos, Absurd Person Singular
Enid Graham, The Constant Wife
Ann Guilbert, A Naked Girl on the Appian Way
Clea Lewis, Absurd Person Singular
Ali MacGraw, Festen
Kathleen McNenny, The Constant Wife
Kathryn Meisle, A Touch of the Poet
Pamela Merrick, The History Boys
Carrie Preston, Festen
Shirley A. Rumierk, Latinologues
Deborah Rush, Absurd Person Singular
Susan Kelechi Watson, A Naked Girl on the Appian Way

I’m Thinking… Lock
Jim Dale, The Threepenny Opera

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Michael Ball, The Woman in White
Peter Benson, The Pajama Game
Richard H. Blake, The Wedding Singer
Danny Burstein, The Drowsy Chaperone
Kevin Cahoon, The Wedding Singer
Will Chase, Lennon
Manoel Felciano, Sweeney Todd
Chester Gregory II, Tarzan
Shuler Hensley, Tarzan
Edward Hibbert, The Drowsy Chaperone
Christian Hoff, Jersey Boys
Mark Jacoby, Sweeney Todd
Troy Britton Johnson, The Drowsy Chaperone
Kingsley Leggs, The Color Purple
Benjamin Magnuson, Sweeney Todd
Michael McKean, The Pajama Game
Daniel Reichard, Jersey Boys
Matthew Saldivar, The Wedding Singer
J. Robert Spencer, Jersey Boys
Lenny Wolpe, The Drowsy Chaperone

Ummm… Probably Not
Ron Bohmer, The Woman in White
Adam Brazier, The Woman in White
Jeb Brown, Ring of Fire
Walter Charles, The Woman in White
Chuck Cooper, Lennon
Keith David, Hot Feet
Brandon Victor Dixon, The Color Purple
Jason Edwards, Ring of Fire
Jarrod Emick, Ring of Fire
Alexander Gemignani, Sweeney Todd
Michael Genet, Lestat
Peter Gregus, Jersey Boys
Allen Hidalgo, Hot Feet
Roderick Hill, Lestat
Christopher Innvar, The Threepenny Opera
Timothy Jerome, Tarzan
Donnie Kehr, Jersey Boys
Donnie Keshawarz, Tarzan
Chad Kimball, Lennon
Eddie Korbich, The Drowsy Chaperone
Garth Kravits, The Drowsy Chaperone
Jason Kravits, The Drowsy Chaperone
Carlos Leon, The Threepenny Opera
Michael Longoria, Jersey Boys
Mark Lotito, Jersey Boys
Daniel Manche, Tarzan
Terrance Mann, Lennon
Michael McCormick, The Pajama Game
Lou Myers, The Color Purple
Dominic Nolfi, Jersey Boys
Richard Poe, The Pajama Game
Michael Potts, Lennon
Brian Charles Rooney, The Threepenny Opera
Alex Rutherford, Tarzan
Drew Sarich, Lestat
Jim Stanek, Lestat

I’m Thinking… Lock
Felicia P. Fields, The Color Purple

I Wouldn’t Be Completely Surprised If…
Carolee Carmello, Lestat
Merle Dandridge, TarzanAnn Duquesnay, Hot Feet
Georgia Engel, The Drowsy Chaperone
Felicia Finley, The Wedding Singer
Allison Fischer, Lestat
Rita Gardner, The Wedding Singer
Ana Gasteyer, The Threepenny Opera
Cyndi Lauper, The Threepenny Opera
Megan Lawrence, The Pajama Game
Beth Leavel, The Drowsy Chaperone
Lauren Molina, Sweeney Todd
Roz Ryan, The Pajama Game
Amy Spanger, The Wedding Singer
Elisabeth Withers-Mendes, The Color Purple

Ummm… Probably Not
Donna Lynne Champlin, Sweeney Todd
Joyce Chittick, The Pajama Game
Angela Christian, The Woman in White
Julie Danao, Lennon
Carol Dennis, The Color Purple
Diana DiMarzio, Sweeney Todd
Heather Ferguson, Jersey Boys
Mandy Gonzalez, Lennon
Marcy Harriell, Lennon
Kecia Lewis-Evans, The Drowsy Chaperone
Sarah Livingston, Hot Feet
Beth Malone, Ring of Fire
Maureen Moore, The Threepenny Opera
Cass Morgan, Ring of Fire
Julia Murney, Lennon
Jennifer Naimo, Jersey Boys
Liana Ortiz, Chita Rivera: The Dancer’s Life
Jill Paice, The Woman in White
Erica Piccininni, Jersey Boys
Sara Schmidt, Jersey Boys
Wynonna Smith, Hot Feet
Jennifer Smith, The Drowsy Chaperone
Lari White, Ring of Fire
Maia Nkenge Wilson, The Color Purple
Virgina Woodruff, The Color Purple


Anonymous said...

Brian Charles Rooney a "probably not" on the Featured Actor in a Musical list???!!! HUH?? Did you SEE him? He was funny as HELL - the best part of that show and got the most applause. All people were talking about on the way out of the theater was "Lucy Brown."

When was the last time a tenor got up on a Broadway stage and sang soprano better than most of the Broadway sopranos out there? He has a HUGE range. I have seen him in 2 other shows. The man can sing anything and in any style. I guess Broadway doesn't care about singing anymore.

The singing is beside the point. He could have made the mistake of making Lucy a clown. He was able to make her funny but remain human. I think THAT deserves a nomination.

Jim Dale was great but just up to his usual schtick! ;)

Anonymous said...

Brian Charles Rooney in my opinion is also a probably not. Sure he has a range, but in or out of a dress he can't lose the sibilant "S". Which is what makes him a hard sell for most roles. He may have been funny to some, but I was not impressed.

Jim Dale was the best performance of the production in my opinion...the only one I was completely impressed by.

But I also hated this production, I wouldn't be surprised if there is only 2 nominations this year for Best Revival.

Anonymous said...

you sound like you hate him, personally, which is rather strange

I saw him play Homer Collins in Floyd Collins in Miami and he had no "sibilant S's"

I also find your comment INCREDIBLY offensive and homophobic. Also, I am curious, what else have you seen him in that would lead you to believe he would be a "hard sell" for other roles? I would think that playing a gay man in "Threepenny Opera" would lead him to using a voice that makes sense for that character.

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